![]() From that number, they subtract the starting number listed in the rules. At the moment of market closure, PI simply opens the twitter page for the account in question, hovers their mouse over the tweet count, and records the number of tweets listed there. All of them run from noon on their start day to noon on the same day of the week one week later. The rules for tweet markets are straightforward. The number one rule of PI is, as always, READ THE RULES. Fortunately you don’t have to be able to do that to make money – but we’ll get to that later, in Part Two. If it seems insane to be able to predict one week out how many times an account will tweet – well, yeah, it’s hard. Only one contract can win at the end of the week – but several will likely take turns leading the pack until that happens! Know the lingo here – the lowest contract is usually labeled B1, and the highest B7. ![]() For example, the market (Trump Tweets, or TT, or RDT) might ask traders to decide among contracts ranging from 34 or fewer to 65 or more, with contracts between covering 5-tweet ranges (35-39, 40-44, etc). Traders are presented a linked market of (generally) seven contracts spanning a range. There are four tweet markets currently on PI, one for each of these accounts: and market asks its users to predict the answer to a straightforward question: in one week, how many times will this twitter account tweet? ![]() This guide introduces these beautiful markets, reveals a little about how they work, and outlines some basic strategies to try. These weekly markets are PI’s bread and butter, trading well over a million shares cumulatively each week. Home to degenerates, data nerds, and some of the liveliest discussion boards on PredictIt. This will happen in any case, but the Russians will amplify it,” said James Lewis, director of the strategic technologies program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.Tweet markets! So easy to learn. “If it is close, expect a lot of noise about voter fraud and miscounting. While a landslide victory for Biden would prove a difficult result for Russian trolls to deal with, a much closer result will be fertile ground for their disinformation efforts. One possible tactic could be the use of distributed denial of service attacks to overwhelm local and state election websites to sow distrust in the voting process. The Kremlin will play a waiting game, officials told Bloomberg, likely deciding on what tactics to deploy depending on the outcome of the election. officials are warning that the Kremlin is primed to take advantage of the fallout from Tuesday’s vote - whatever the outcome. The chaos, partisan propaganda, misinformation, and disinformation that have characterized the final weeks of the 2020 election campaigns, will not simply disappear overnight, and now U.S. Here’s what else is happening in the world of election disinformation: With hours to go before Election Day, it is hard to say what impact such disinformation will have on the outcome of the vote, but after four years, Twitter should be much, much better at this. In the second case, Grenell is an influential and high-profile member of Trump’s inner circle and as such, his tweets need to be held to a higher standard, particularly when multiple accounts reported and flagged the issue. ![]() Then in September, the Trump campaign posted a video making it seem like Biden had forgotten the Pledge of Allegiance. In August, Trump’s social media director Dan Scavino shared a video that claimed to show Biden falling asleep during a TV interview. That should not be the job of journalists.Īnd this isn’t the first time this has happened. But Twitter didn’t do that, and the video was only finally labeled “manipulated” when journalists began pointing out the issue to Twitter. ![]()
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